Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.079494 0.089076 0.099011 0.110054 0.121955 0.134371 0.148274
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.062941 0.076915 0.092274 0.110284 0.130695 0.152986 0.179042
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.050554 0.067041 0.086167 0.109679 0.137489 0.169026 0.207177
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.044654 0.063519 0.086414 0.115662 0.151435 0.193188 0.245002
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.040256 0.061016 0.087244 0.121873 0.165440 0.217505 0.283457
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.034514 0.055882 0.084008 0.122382 0.171996 0.232635 0.310940
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.028675 0.049780 0.078763 0.119636 0.173917 0.241716 0.330879
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.026255 0.048169 0.079274 0.124252 0.185193 0.262525 0.365579
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.023740 0.046063 0.078810 0.127334 0.194350 0.280678 0.397148
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.021242 0.043644 0.077615 0.129180 0.201727 0.296531 0.425938
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.018757 0.040913 0.075673 0.129726 0.207181 0.309825 0.451522
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018531 0.041944 0.079448 0.138621 0.224337 0.338865 0.498010
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016074 0.038919 0.076903 0.138381 0.229132 0.352109 0.524921
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014301 0.036913 0.075836 0.140317 0.237120 0.369949 0.558448
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012388 0.034353 0.073629 0.140340 0.242293 0.384027 0.587221
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011919 0.034604 0.076153 0.147819 0.258543 0.413687 0.637468
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011495 0.034881 0.078699 0.155379 0.275052 0.443955 0.688949
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010137 0.032914 0.077085 0.156056 0.281139 0.459553 0.720442
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008444 0.029877 0.073244 0.152814 0.281088 0.466345 0.739816
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007984 0.029679 0.074642 0.158329 0.294546 0.492603 0.786462
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007357 0.028959 0.074971 0.162002 0.305188 0.514935 0.827885
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006639 0.027870 0.074480 0.164200 0.313520 0.534001 0.864932
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005852 0.026432 0.073161 0.164850 0.319363 0.549471 0.897051